Denis Shapovalov vs Vilius Gaubas Head-to-Head Stats, Results & Performance Comparison

• Shapovalov excels in winning points on his second serve, slightly outperforming Gaubas with 46.53% compared to Gaubas' 45.79%. Could this subtle edge influence the match outcome?
• In return games, Gaubas has a stronger performance, reclaiming 46.36% of second serve points, while Shapovalov trails with 44.33%. This suggests Gaubas may have a slight advantage in breaking serve.
• When facing first serves, Gaubas dominates significantly with a conversion rate of 30.3%, compared to Shapovalov's 24.33%. This marked difference might play a critical role during the match.
• Under pressure, Shapovalov shows resilience by saving 54.43% of breakpoints, surpassing Gaubas who saves 52.03%. Could this mean Shapovalov handles pressure situations better?
• Considering overall match performance in the past year, Shapovalov holds a win rate of 63.33%, whereas Gaubas shows 54.55%. This broad performance consistency leans in favor of Shapovalov.
• Shapovalov appears more comfortable on indoor hard courts, with a 62% win rate, and struggles more on grass. Alternatively, Gaubas shines on clay courts but finds indoor hard courts challenging.
• Shapovalov competes primarily on the Main tour, with a win percentage of 71.88%, while Gaubas frequents the Challengers/ITF level, reflecting their differing competitive environments.
• When evaluating opponent quality, Shapovalov's average opponent rank is 87.03, while Gaubas faces lower-ranked opponents averaging 269.92. This exposure to higher-ranked opponents might prepare Shapovalov better for high-level matches.
• In deciding sets, Gaubas leads slightly, winning 58%, compared to Shapovalov's 57%. This might imply a marginal advantage for Gaubas in tightly contested matches.
• Breaking serve is crucial; Gaubas effectively converts 41.67% of break points, outperforming Shapovalov's 30.48%. This proficiency could be pivotal in tipping the match balance.

Editorial Prediction (May 9, 2025, UTC):

As we analyze the current form and performance metrics of Denis Shapovalov and Gaubas, several factors stand out in predicting the likely outcome of their upcoming tennis match.

Shapovalov shows a consistent edge in overall performance and handling pressure, evident from his serving statistics and breakpoint savings. His battle-hardened experience against higher-ranked opponents could also serve him well in this matchup.

Conversely, Gaubas's strengths lie in his effective return games and higher breakpoint conversion rate, suggesting he might create more opportunities against Shapovalov's serve.

While Gaubas demonstrates competency in deciding sets, which might affect the dynamics under tight contest conditions, the cumulative evidence points towards Shapovalov having a slight upper hand.

Considering these factors, Denis Shapovalov appears to be the likely winner in this encounter, leveraging his comprehensive strengths and experience to secure victory.